Gespeichert in:
| Titel: | Managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets |
|---|---|
| Von: |
Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, Gero Schindlmayr
|
| Person: |
Burger, Markus
Verfasser aut Graeber, Bernhard Schindlmayr, Gero 1970- 1972- |
| Hauptverfassende: | , , |
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Chichester
Wiley
2014
|
| Ausgabe: | 2. ed. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027513275&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | IX, 434 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9781118618509 9781118618639 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Burger, Markus |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)13389181X |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Managing energy risk |b a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets |c Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, Gero Schindlmayr |
| 250 | |a 2. ed. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a Chichester |b Wiley |c 2014 | |
| 300 | |a IX, 434 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Energy industries |x Risk management | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| DE-BY-UBR_call_number | 40/QR 530 B954 M2(2) |
|---|---|
| DE-BY-UBR_katkey | 5538387 |
| DE-BY-UBR_location | UB Lesesaal Wirtschaft |
| DE-BY-UBR_media_number | 069039865836 |
| _version_ | 1835098925651984384 |
| adam_text | Contents
Preface
xi
Acknowledgements
xiii
1
Energy Markets
1
1.1
Energy Trading
3
1.1.1
Spot Market
3
1.1.2
Forwards and Futures
4
1.1.3
Commodity Swaps
6
1.1.4
Options
6
1.1.5
Delivery Terms
6
1.2
The Oil Market
7
1.2.1
Consumption, Production and Reserves
7
1.2.2
Crude Oil Trading
10
1.2.3
Refined Oil Products
11
1.3
The Natural Gas Market
12
1.3.1
Consumption, Production and Reserves
13
1.3.2
Natural Gas Trading
15
1.3.3
Liquefied Natural Gas
19
1.4
The Coal Market
21
1.4.1
Consumption, Production and Reserves
21
1.4.2
Coal Trading
23
1.4.3
Freight
26
1.5
The Electricity Market
27
1.5.1
Consumption and Production
27
1.5.2
Electricity Trading
31
1.5.3
Electricity Exchanges
38
1.6
The Emissions Market
42
1.6.1
Kyoto Protocol
42
1.6.2 EU
Emissions Trading Scheme
45
1.6.3
Flexible Mechanisms
46
1.6.4
Products and Marketplaces
48
1.6.5
Other Emissions Trading Schemes
51
vi
Contents
Renewable Energy
55
2.1
The Role of Renewable Energy in Electricity Generation
55
2.1.1
Historical Development
55
2.1.2
Political Targets
58
2.1.3
Forecasts
59
2.2
The Role of Liquid Biofuels in the Transportation Sector
60
2.3
Renewable Energy Technologies
61
2.3.1
Hydropower
61
2.3.2
Wind Power
66
2.3.3
Solar Energy
69
2.3.4
Geothermal Energy
71
2.3.5
Bioenergy
73
2.3.6
Not Widespread Renewable Energies
77
2.4
Support Schemes for Renewable Energy
78
2.4.1
Feed-In Tariffs
80
2.4.2
Net Metering
83
2.4.3
Electric Utility Quota Obligations and Tradable Certificates
83
2.4.4
Auctions
85
2.4.5
Subsidies, Investment Grants and Tax Benefits
86
2.5
Key Economic Factors of Renewable Energy Projects
87
2.5.1
The Project Developer s Perspective
87
2.5.2
The Project Investor s Perspective
88
2.6
Risks in Renewable Energy Projects and their Mitigation
90
2.6.1
Project Development Risks
90
2.6.2
Construction Risks
93
2.6.3
Resource Risks
93
2.6.4
Technical Risks
96
2.6.5
Market Risks
97
2.6.6
Regulatory Risks
99
2.6.7
Other Operational Risks
100
Risk Management
101
3.1
Governance Principles and Market Regulation
102
3.2
Market Risk
104
3.2.1
Delta Position
104
3.2.2
Variance Minimising Hedging
110
3.2.3
Value-at-Risk 111
3.2.4
Estimating Volatilities and Correlations
120
3.2.5
Backtesting
123
3.2.6
Liquidity-Adjusted Value-at-Risk
123
3.2.7
Profit-at-Risk and Further Risk Measures
127
3.3
Legal Risk
130
3.4
Credit Risk
134
3.4.1
Credit Rating
137
3.4.2
Quantifying Credit Risk
140
3.5
Liquidity Risk
144
3.6
Operational Risk
146
Contents
vìi
Retail Markets
151
4.1
Interaction of Wholesale and Retail Markets
151
4.2
Retail Products
155
4.2.1
Fixed-Price Contracts
155
4.2.2
Indexed Contracts
156
4.2.3
Full Service Contracts
157
4.2.4
Partial Delivery Contracts
157
4.2.5
Portfolio Management
158
4.2.6
Supplementary Products
159
4.3
Sourcing
160
4.3.1
Sourcing Fixed-Price Contracts
160
4.3.2
Sourcing Indexed Contracts
161
4.3.3
Sourcing B2C Contracts
162
4.4
Load Forecasting
163
4.5
Weather Risk in Gas Retail Markets
165
4.5.1
Weather Derivatives
168
4.6
Risk Premiums
172
4.6.1
Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital
174
4.6.2
Price Validity Period
174
4.6.3
Structuring Fee and Balancing Energy
175
4.6.4
Credit Risk
176
4.6.5
Volume and Price Profile Risk
177
4.6.6
Operational Risk
181
4.6.7
Risk Premium Summary
182
Energy Derivatives
185
5.1
Forwards, Futures and Swaps
186
5.1.1
Forward Contracts
18 6
5.1.2
Futures Contracts
189
5.1.3
Swaps
191
5.2
Commodity Forward Curves
192
5.2.1
Investment Assets
194
5.2.2
Consumption Assets and Convenience Yield
194
5.2.3
The Market Price of Risk
196
5.3
Plain Vanilla Options
197
5.3.1
The Put-Call Parity and Option Strategies
198
5.3.2
Black s Futures Price Model
200
5.3.3
Option Pricing Formulas
200
5.3.4
Hedging Options: The Greeks
202
5.3.5
Implied Volatilities and the Volatility Smile
208
5.3.6
Swaptions
210
5.4
American,
Bermudán
and Asian Options
212
5.4.1
American and
Bermudán
Options
212
5.4.2
Asian Options
213
5.5
Multi-Underlying Options
216
5.5.1
Basket Options
216
5.5.2
Spread Options
218
5.5.3
Quanto
and Composite Options
221
viii Contents
5.6
Modelling
Spot Prices
224
5.6.1
Pricing Spot Price Options
226
5.6.2
Geometric Brownian Motion as Spot Price Model
231
5.6.3
The One-Factor Schwartz Model
237
5.6.4
The Schwartz-Smith Model
241
5.7
Stochastic Forward Curve Models
246
5.7.1
One-Factor Forward Curve Models
247
5.7.2
A Two-Factor Forward Curve Model
249
5.7.3
A Multi-Factor Exponential Model
251
6
Stochastic Models for Electricity and Gas
253
6.1
Daily and Hourly Forward Curve Models
253
6.1.1
Daily Price Forward Curve for Gas
255
6.1.2
Hourly Price Forward Curve for Electricity
257
6.2
Structural Electricity Price Models
265
6.2.1
The SMaPS Model
266
6.2.2
The Multi-Commodity SMaPS model
269
6.2.3
Regime-Switching Models
272
6.2.4
Virtual Power Plants
278
6.3
Structural Gas Price Models
281
6.3.1
Natural Gas Price Models
281
6.3.2
Swing Options and Gas Storage
286
6.3.3
Least-Squares Monte Carlo Method
291
7
Fundamental Market Models
301
7.1
Fundamental Price Drivers in Electricity Markets
301
7.1.1
Demand Side
302
7.1.2
Supply Side
306
7.1.3
Interconnections
313
7.2
Economic Power Plant Dispatch
313
7.2.1
Thermal Power Plants
315
7.2.2
Hydropower Plants
322
7.2.3
Optimisation Methods
325
7.3
Methodological Approaches
335
7.3.1
Merit Order Curve
335
7.32
Optimisation Models
347
7.3.3
System Dynamics
353
7.3.4
Game Theory
357
7.4
Relevant System Information for Electricity Market Modelling
366
366
367
370
371
371
372
374
375
376
7.4.1
Demand Side
7.4.2
Supply Side
7.4.3
Transmission System
7.4.4
Historical Data for
Backtesting
7.4.5
Information Sources
7.5
Application of Electricity Market Models
7.6
Gas Market Models
7.6.1
Demand Side
7.6.2
Supply Side
Contents ix
7.6.3 Transport 379
7.6.4
Storage
379
7.6.5
Portfolio Optimisation
382
7.6.6
Formulation of the Market Model
383
7.6.7
Application of Gas Market Models
385
7.7
Market Models for Oil, Coal and CO2 Markets
386
7.8
Asset Investment Decisions
387
7.8.1
The Discounted Cashflow Method
387
7.8.2
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
389
7.8.3
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
390
Appendix: Mathematical Background
393
A.I Econometric Methods
393
A.
1.1
Linear Regression
393
A.
1.2
Stationary Time Series and Unit Root Tests
395
A.
1.3
Principal Component Analysis
397
A.
1.4
Kalman
Filtering Method
398
A.
1.5
Regime-Switching Models
399
A.
2
Stochastic Processes
402
A.
2.1
Conditional Expectation and Martingales
402
A.
2.2
Brownian Motion
402
A.
2.3
Stochastic Integration and
Itô s
Lemma
403
A.3 Option Pricing Theory
405
A.
3.1
Pricing Under the Risk-Neutral Measure
405
A.
3.2
The Feynman-Kac Theorem
408
A.
3.3
Monte Carlo Simulation
410
References
413
Index
419
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Burger, Markus Graeber, Bernhard 1970- Schindlmayr, Gero 1972- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)13389181X (DE-588)123957168 (DE-588)121046001 |
| author_facet | Burger, Markus Graeber, Bernhard 1970- Schindlmayr, Gero 1972- |
| author_role | aut aut aut |
| author_sort | Burger, Markus |
| author_variant | m b mb b g bg g s gs |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV042072032 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
| callnumber-label | HD9502 |
| callnumber-raw | HD9502.A2 |
| callnumber-search | HD9502.A2 |
| callnumber-sort | HD 49502 A2 |
| callnumber-subject | HD - Industries, Land Use, Labor |
| classification_rvk | QR 530 SK 980 ZP 2900 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)891757392 (DE-599)BVBBV042072032 |
| dewey-full | 333.79 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 333 - Economics of land and energy |
| dewey-raw | 333.79 |
| dewey-search | 333.79 |
| dewey-sort | 3333.79 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Mathematik Energietechnik Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | 2. ed. |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV042072032 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T17:01:31Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781118618509 9781118618639 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 014020780 |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-027513275 |
| oclc_num | 891757392 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-11 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-1049 DE-523 DE-384 |
| owner_facet | DE-11 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-1049 DE-523 DE-384 |
| physical | IX, 434 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateSearch | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Burger, Markus Graeber, Bernhard 1970- Schindlmayr, Gero 1972- Managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets Energy industries Risk management Terminhandel (DE-588)4059499-3 gnd Portfolio Selection (DE-588)4046834-3 gnd Wirtschaftsmathematik (DE-588)4066472-7 gnd Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd Finanzmathematik (DE-588)4017195-4 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Energiemarkt (DE-588)4014712-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4059499-3 (DE-588)4046834-3 (DE-588)4066472-7 (DE-588)4121590-4 (DE-588)4017195-4 (DE-588)4114528-8 (DE-588)4014712-5 |
| title | Managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets |
| title_auth | Managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets |
| title_exact_search | Managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets |
| title_full | Managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, Gero Schindlmayr |
| title_fullStr | Managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, Gero Schindlmayr |
| title_full_unstemmed | Managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, Gero Schindlmayr |
| title_short | Managing energy risk |
| title_sort | managing energy risk a practical guide for risk management in power gas and other energy markets |
| title_sub | a practical guide for risk management in power, gas and other energy markets |
| topic | Energy industries Risk management Terminhandel (DE-588)4059499-3 gnd Portfolio Selection (DE-588)4046834-3 gnd Wirtschaftsmathematik (DE-588)4066472-7 gnd Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd Finanzmathematik (DE-588)4017195-4 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Energiemarkt (DE-588)4014712-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Energy industries Risk management Terminhandel Portfolio Selection Wirtschaftsmathematik Risikomanagement Finanzmathematik Mathematisches Modell Energiemarkt |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027513275&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT burgermarkus managingenergyriskapracticalguideforriskmanagementinpowergasandotherenergymarkets AT graeberbernhard managingenergyriskapracticalguideforriskmanagementinpowergasandotherenergymarkets AT schindlmayrgero managingenergyriskapracticalguideforriskmanagementinpowergasandotherenergymarkets |
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